MODELING THE RESPONSE OF RURAL UNEMPLOYMENT TO ECONOMIC VARIATIONS: ASSESSMENT OF GENDER DIFFERENCES
Abstract
The article is devoted to the study and modeling of gender differences in the cyclical response of rural unemployment to economic fluctuations using the Okun model. Based on the assessment of the values of the Okun coefficient, the relationship between the dynamics of output and the response of rural unemployment, both male and female, was measured. The results of the study showed that the degree of sensitivity of male rural unemployment to the business cycle was higher than that of female unemployment.
References
Okun A.M. Potential GNP: Its Measurement and Significance. American Statistical Association. Proceedings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section. 1962: 98-104.
Evans A. Okun coefficients and participation coefficients by age and gender. IZA Journal of Labor Economics. 2018;7(5): 1-22.
Zanin L On Okun’s Law in OECD countries: an analysis by age cohorts. Economics Letters. 2014; 125(2): 243–248.
Ахундова О. В., Коровкин А. Г., Королев И.Б. Взаимосвязь динамики ВВП и безработицы: теоретический и практический аспект. Научные труды ИНП РАН. Под ред. А. Г. Коровкина. 2005, с. 471–497.
Вакуленко Е.С., Гурвич Е.Т. Взаимосвязь ВВП, безработицы и занятости: углубленный анализ закона Оукена для России // Вопросы экономики. 2015. № 3. С. 5-27.
Kargi B. Okun’s law and long term cointegration analysis for OECD countries (1987–2012). International Research Journal of Finance and Economics. 2014; (119): 77–85.
Blinova T.V., Rusanovskii V.A., Markov V.A. Assessment of the reaction of cyclical unemployment to the economic decline and recovery growth in Russia. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast. 2020: 13(6): 184–198. DOI: 10.15838/esc.2020.6.72.11.
Blinova T.V., Rusanovskii V.A., Markov V.A. Estimating the Impact of Economic Fluctuations on Unemployment in Russian Regions Based on the Okun Model. Studies on Russian Economic Development. 2021: 32(1): 103-110. DOI: 10.1134/S1075700721010032
Boeri T., Jimeno J. F. Learning from the Great Divergence in Unemployment in Europe during the Crisis. Labour Economics. 2016; (41): 32–46. DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco. 2016.05.022.
Dixon, R. Lim, G. C. and J. C. van Ours Revisiting the Okun relationship. Applied Economics. 2017; 49:28, 2749-2765. DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1245846
O'Higgins N. This Time It's Different? Youth Labour Markets during ‘The Great Recession’. Comparative Economic Studies. 2012; (54):395–412. DOI: 10.1057/ces. 2012.15.
Блинова Т.В., Марков В.А. Влияние темпов сельскохозяйственного производства на уровень сельской безработицы // АПК: экономика, управление. 2021. № 8. С. 3-8.
Молодежный рынок труда: оценка и моделирование межрегиональных различий. М, 2016.
Блинова Т.В. Факторы сельской безработицы в период экономической рецессии // АПК: экономика, управление. 2020. № 4. С.62-68.
Tombolo G., Hasegawa M. Okun’s law: Evidence for the Brazilian economy. The Economic Research Guardian. 2014; 4(1): 2–12.
Boulhol H., Sicari P. Labour Market Performance by Age Groups: A Focus on France, OECD Economics Department Working Papers. 2013: 1027.
Чекмарев О.П., Лукичев П.М., Конев П.А. Факторы изменений рынка труда России под влиянием пандемии COVID-19 и стратегии адаптации работодателей // Экономика труда. 2021. Том 8. № 4. С. 329-340.
